MPBL
Prediction for Bulacan Kuyas — San Juan Knights
67%
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Mariners
Athletics
Prediction for
Win: Athletics
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 3
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 21:26# Athletics to Win
The Athletics are the side to back, with 57% confidence, in this matchup at T-Mobile Park. They have won the last three meetings between these teams, and their recent form is stronger. Run expectancy: 5.9 to 5.4. Oakland takes it.
The Athletics have not lost to the Mariners in their last three encounters. On 4 September they won 7:4, on 5 September 7:6, and on 6 September 6:2. The aggregate score across those games is 20-12 in Oakland's favour. Seattle have not managed to find a way past them in this stretch.
The Mariners have taken 6 points from their last five games — two wins, three losses. The Athletics have taken 12 points from the same number of matches, with four victories and only one defeat. Oakland have scored 34 runs while conceding 22, whereas Seattle have scored 29 and let in 29.
The model expects both sides to find the scoreboard, but it gives Oakland a small advantage. A win for the visitors is the most likely outcome.
Seattle's bullpen leaks runs; Oakland's starter falters.
Service pick: Athletics win (57% confidence)