MPBL
Prediction for Bulacan Kuyas — San Juan Knights
67%
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Prediction for
Win: Halden
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 15:37Halden win. The model picks Halden 84.1 to 8.7, backed by their opening-day win and Tiller's draw.
Opening round results
Halden began the campaign with a 36:30 win over Varhaug at home on 30 August, while Tiller shared the points 28:28 with Bergsoy in their own home fixture. The two-point gap in the table reflects that difference — Halden sit fourth with 2 points, Tiller thirteenth with none.
Recent form
Across their last five matches Halden have won twice and lost three times, scoring 150 goals and conceding 146. Tiller's record is slightly better — two wins, one draw, two losses — but they have netted 129 goals against 140 conceded. Both sides have shown vulnerability defensively, yet the model's expectations point toward a one-sided affair.
Model expectations
The draw probability sits at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and three or more goals at 0%. These numbers do not suggest a competitive contest.
Conditions
Only a Tiller explosion or a Halden collapse changes this. The model gives both zero chance.