Frederikshavn — Sönderjyske Ishockey: match prediction

Sönderjyske Ishockey to win, 52% confidence. The visitors have won five of the last six meetings between these sides and the model projects them to score more goals despite both teams arriving winless in their recent form.

Winless starts

Frederikshavn have failed to take a point from their last five matches, losing all five and conceding 32 goals while scoring just six. Their most recent outing ended 3:4 at home against Aalborg on 28 August, but the pattern stretches back to a 0:9 defeat at Odense Bulldogs on 1 March.

Sönderjyske are similarly without a victory in their last five games but have been more compact defensively. They lost four and drew one, conceding 13 goals and managing four in return. Their most recent result was a narrow 1:2 loss away at Odense Bulldogs on the same day as Frederikshavn's defeat.

History favours the visitors

The head-to-head record over recent years shows Sönderjyske Ishockey in command. Across 25 matches they have won 18 times compared to seven for the hosts. In the last six meetings the visitors have prevailed five times, including an 8:1 victory at their own arena in February 2026.

Frederikshavn's only win in that span came 5:1 at home in November 2025, but since then Sönderjyske have won four consecutive meetings, including a 5:1 result at Frederikshavn in January.

The model sees goals

The simulation projects 2.6 goals for Frederikshavn and 3.3 for Sönderjyske Ishockey. A draw sits at 16%, while both teams to score comes in at 89%. The model expects three or more goals in 93% of simulated matches.

The three most likely scorelines are 2:3, 2:2, and 3:3, each at 5%. The model's figures are based on historical scoring patterns and do not account for current squad changes or tactical adjustments.

When the prediction fails

If Frederikshavn secure a point, the conclusion stops holding. The model also flags 2:2 as equally likely as the 2:3 win, so a stalemate remains a genuine possibility.