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Minnesota Lynx Women vs New York Liberty Women: match prediction on 19 September 2026

NBA Women Target Center Minneapolis Miss Match page
Minnesota Lynx Women New York Liberty Women

Prediction for

Win: Minnesota Lynx Women

55%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

55% 1
45% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 00:33

Minnesota Lynx are without key guard Napheesa Collier, who is sidelined with a knee injury, while New York Liberty Women will be missing All-Star Jonquel Jones due to a calf strain. These absences significantly impact the hosts' interior defense and the visitors' rebounding.

Minnesota have taken three wins from their last five matches, including a 92-87 win at Las Vegas, though they also suffered defeats to Atlanta and Valkyries at home. Their scoring pattern shows 410 points across five games, averaging 82 per outing, with the 92-87 win at Las Vegas and the 94-84 victory in Washington demonstrating they can score. New York Liberty Women have mirrored this 3-2 record, with 422 points scored in their last five, including a 109-102 home win against Indiana Fever and a 85-66 victory over Chicago Sky.

The two sides have met 18 times in recent years, Minnesota winning 10 and New York 8. This season's encounters were tighter affairs: Minnesota took 90-85 at home on 11 July, while New York responded with 99-86 at their own venue on 3 July. The hosts carry that edge tonight.

Minnesota sit top of the table with 31 wins from 40 games, seven more victories than New York's 24 wins from the same number of fixtures. Both teams have completed their regular season schedules.

The visitors have shown they can score 100 points when conditions align, as their 99-point home victory over Minnesota already proved.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 00:33
  • Миннесота Линкс Женщины — 1. place, 0 points after 40 games (31 wins, 9 losses)
  • Нью-Йорк Либерти — 3. place, 0 points after 40 games (24 wins, 16 losses)
  • Миннесота Линкс Женщины, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Нью-Йорк Либерти, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 18 games, Миннесота Линкс Женщины — 10, Нью-Йорк Либерти — 8

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Minnesota Lynx Women LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses
New York Liberty Women WWWLL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 24

14Minnesota Lynx Women 0Draw 10New York Liberty Women
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+