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America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira: match prediction on 10 September 2026

Copa Colombia Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero Cali Hit Match page
America de Cali Deportivo Pereira

Prediction for

Win: America de Cali

56%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

56% 1
27% X
17% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 8 Sep, 00:00

Deportivo Pereira, sitting atop the Copa Colombia table with eight points from four games, secured a point away at America de Cali. The sides shared the spoils, leaving the visitors unbeaten in their last five outings while extending America de Cali's run of two consecutive draws to include this fixture.

Pereira broke their duck in the 20th minute. Only five per cent of their goals came in the 16–30 minute window, yet here they struck first. Pereira sat deep and absorbed pressure to contain America de Cali, whose own data indicated they conceded one third of their goals in the opening fifteen minutes. This match proved no different, as Pereira held firm against a home side that averaged 6.2 shots on target per game over the last ten matches.

Models had predicted America de Cali to score 1.4 goals against Pereira's 0.7, with the most likely outcome a 1:0 home victory (18 per cent). Pereira's defensive record over the last five games—conceding only five goals in five matches—proved decisive in neutralising America de Cali's attack, which had scored ten goals in their previous five outings.

In the last six meetings, America de Cali had won four times, including a 1:0 victory at home in May 2026. However, Deportivo Pereira's current form—eight points from four matches, with only one loss in their last five—showed a side capable of grinding out results away from home. Their previous away trip to Alianza Petrolera had ended 0:0, and this performance followed a similar pattern of limited attacking intent but solid organisation.

America de Cali had won 3:0 over Alianza Petrolera earlier in September.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 8 Sep, 00:00
  • Депортиво Перейра — 1. place, 8 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Америка де Кали, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
  • Депортиво Перейра, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Америка де Кали — 5, Депортиво Перейра — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

America de Cali WWLDW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Deportivo Pereira LDLLD 2 draws · 3 losses

Head to head 12

8America de Cali 1Draw 3Deportivo Pereira
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+