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Barra Mansa vs Búzios: match prediction on 28 September 2026

Carioca B2 Estádio Leão do Sul Barra Mansa Hit Match page
Barra Mansa Búzios

Prediction for

Win: Barra Mansa

72%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

78% 1
15% X
7% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 19:15

Búzios remained at the bottom of the table, extending their streak of five consecutive defeats. The result shifted the momentum for the hosts, who had drawn three of their previous four league matches.

The final score proved decisive for both sides. Barra Mansa moved to three points from four games, matching their previous total but marking a change in fortunes after a 1-4 home loss to 7 de Abril. Búzios stayed on zero points from four matches, having failed to score in three of their last four league outings. The visitor had previously won both encounters against Barra Mansa earlier this year.

Barra Mansa dominated the early stages of the match. Búzios struggled to create chances, having scored only one goal in their last five matches across all competitions.

While Búzios had scored 40 per cent of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches in previous fixtures, they found no time to pull a goal back. The visitors conceded heavily, reflecting their defensive record with 43 per cent of goals against occurring in the second half.

The result leaves Barra Mansa in 10th place, while Búzios drop to 11th. For Barra Mansa, the win breaks a cycle of draws. Búzios face a difficult campaign, having lost every game played so far.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 19:15
  • Барра-Манса — 10. place, 3 points after 4 games (0 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses)
  • Бузиос — 12. place, 0 points after 4 games (0 wins, 4 losses)
  • Барра-Манса, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
  • Бузиос, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Барра-Манса — 0, Бузиос — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Barra Mansa DWLDW 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Búzios LLLLL 5 losses

Head to head 2

0Barra Mansa 0Draw 2Búzios
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+