Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Belize vs St. Vincent and the Grenadines: match prediction on 30 September 2026
Belize
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Prediction for
Win: Belize
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
35%
1
27%
X
38%
2
Average bookmaker line (60)
2.63
1
3.34
X
2.43
2
Odds range
2.45 — 2.85
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Sep, 03:18- Белиз, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Сент-Винсент и Гренадины, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Белиз — 0, Сент-Винсент и Гренадины — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Belize
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 2
0Belize
0Draw
2St. Vincent and the Grenadines
- 21 Nov 2023St. Vincent and the Grenadines — Belize3:0
- 8 Sep 2023Belize — St. Vincent and the Grenadines1:2
Bookmaker market
60
bookmakers counted
2.63
Average bookmaker line
2.45 — 2.85
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Sep, 03:18Belize secured a victory over St Vincent and the Grenadines in the CONCACAF Nations League on 30 September 2026, overturning a head-to-head record that had favoured the visitors in every meeting over the previous three years. The result aligned with the service's pre-match selection, which assigned 53 per cent confidence to a home win.
Form and Momentum
Belize arrived with three wins and two losses from their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding eight. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 away victory against Sint Maarten on 27 September. St Vincent and the Grenadines matched that record with three wins and two losses in five games, netting nine goals and allowing eight. They had won 2-1 at home against French Guyana on 26 September.
Performance Statistics
Average statistics from Belize's last two matches showed 66 per cent possession, 5.5 corners, and 98.5 attacks. St Vincent and the Grenadines averaged 48 per cent possession, three corners, and 87 attacks in the same period. Both sides recorded an average of five shots on target per game. Belize's defensive discipline was reflected in 1.5 yellow cards per match, compared with 2.5 for the visitors.
Odds Movement and Prediction
Pre-match betting lines shifted slightly before kick-off. The price for a Belize win dropped from 2.64 to 2.63, while the away price rose from 2.39 to 2.42. The draw price fell from 3.50 to 3.34. A statistical model projected 1.9 goals for Belize and 1.3 for St Vincent and the Grenadines, estimating a 25 per cent chance of a draw and 63 per cent that both teams would score.
Head-to-Head Context
The result ended an unbeaten run of two matches for St Vincent and the Grenadines against Belize. The visitors had won 3-0 in November 2023 and 2-1 in September 2023 in CONCACAF Nations League fixtures.