Depor FC vs Bogota FC: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Our analysis suggests a tight contest with expected goals of 1.2 for Depor FC and 1.1 for Bogota FC, bringing the total to 2.3. The total stays under three goals, and the probability of 3 or more goals stands at just 41%. The most likely scorelines align with this expectation: 1:1 at 13%, followed by 1:0 and 0:1 at 12% and 11% respectively. With the draw probability at 28% and both teams showing signs of offensive stagnation, a low-scoring game is more likely.

Bogota FC FC occupy 6th place in the Primera B with 23 points from 15 matches, while Depor FC sit 15th with 9 points. The 14-point gap reflects a disparity in consistency, yet recent performances suggest the table positions may not fully capture the current momentum. Bogota have secured 6 wins and 5 draws, but Depor’s 8 defeats are offset by 6 draws.

Depor FC have failed to win in their last 5 matches, collecting only 2 points from 2 draws and 3 losses. They have conceded 16 goals in that span, averaging over 3 per game. Bogota FC FC are in similar straits, managing just 1 victory in their last 5 outings while conceding 7 goals. Their recent form includes a 2:1 win against Popayan, but three defeats since then highlight a fragility that could prove costly against a home side under pressure.

Head-to-head records show Bogota FC FC holding the upper hand with 3 wins and 3 draws from 7 meetings, leaving Depor FC with only 1 victory. Bogota remain unbeaten in the last two encounters, winning 1:0 and 2:0 at their own ground. However, Depor FC did secure a 3:0 win at home in August 2024, demonstrating they can exploit defensive lapses. Bogota will not be overwhelmed, but a dominant performance is unlikely given the defensive nature of their recent meetings.

The timing of goals offers a crucial insight into how the match may unfold. Bogota FC FC concede 35% of their goals in the first 15 minutes, while Depor FC score 21% of theirs in the same period. If Bogota fall behind early, they may be forced to open up, increasing the likelihood of a second goal. Conversely, Bogota score 35% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes, a phase where Depor have only conceded 8% of their goals. An early break would be the primary condition to push the game over 2.5 goals.