Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls: match prediction on 10 September 2026
Los Angeles FC
New York Red Bulls
Prediction for
Win: Los Angeles FC
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
67%
1
18%
X
14%
2
Average bookmaker line (41)
1.38
1
5.11
X
6.48
2
Odds range
1.35 — 1.53
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 03:39- Лос-Анджелес — 3. place, 37 points after 24 games (10 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses)
- Нью-Йорк Ред Буллз — 10. place, 27 points after 23 games (7 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses)
- Лос-Анджелес, last 5 games: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
- Нью-Йорк Ред Буллз, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Лос-Анджелес — 0, 1 draws, Нью-Йорк Ред Буллз — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Los Angeles FC
DDWLD
1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss
New York Red Bulls
LDLWW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 2
1Los Angeles FC
1Draw
0New York Red Bulls
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
41
bookmakers counted
1.38
Average bookmaker line
1.35 — 1.53
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 03:39I see no reason to doubt LAFC at 1.39. The hosts sit 10 points clear of the visitors in the table, have played one match more, and the model puts their expected goals at 1.7 against 0.9 for New York.
Two sides without a win
Los Angeles have not won in five matches, collecting three points from three draws and two defeats, scoring three and conceding five. New York have fared worse, managing only two points from two draws and three losses, netting three while letting in seven. Neither side looks like finding a rhythm, yet LAFC's defensive record is the tighter of the two.
What the line tells us
The market opened on 1.40 for the hosts and has drifted to 1.39, a movement of 0.6%. The draw price climbed from 4.95 to 5.11, up 3.3%, while New York's away chances drifted from 6.28 to 6.47, a rise of 2.9%.
Timing is everything
LAFC score 34% of their goals in the final 15 minutes and concede 33% in the same period. New York share that habit, putting 23% of their goals in the opening 15 and another 23% at the death. Both sides are vulnerable late, but LAFC's model-projected 1.7 goals should be enough if they hold firm until the closing stages.
When the prediction fails
If New York can keep the score level and survive until the final whistle, the 24% draw probability becomes the actual result. The model does not account for defensive errors or early setbacks, so an incident in the opening half would change the shape of the game entirely.