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Portland Thorns Women vs Chicago Red Stars Women: match prediction on 14 September 2026

NWSL Women Providence Park Portland Miss Match page
Portland Thorns Women Chicago Red Stars Women

Prediction for

Win: Portland Thorns Women

75%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

75% 1
15% X
10% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 00:13

Portland Thorns secured victory against Chicago Red Stars on 13 September 2026, maintaining their position in the upper half of the NWSL Women table. The result extended Portland's dominance in recent head-to-head meetings, where they have won six of the eight matches played since 2023. Chicago remained in 16th place, continuing a form that has seen them lose 17 of their 23 games this season.

Match Statistics and Performance

Scoring Patterns

Portland's scoring distribution showed they were most dangerous between 31 and 45 minutes, accounting for 25 per cent of their 24 goals in that period. Chicago's goals were more evenly spread, with 30 per cent scored in the 46–60 minute window and another 30 per cent between 76 and 90 minutes. Portland conceded heavily in the final 15 minutes, with 26 per cent of their 23 goals against coming after the 76th minute, a pattern that mirrored Chicago's defensive struggles in the same timeframe.

Table Implications

The win kept Portland Thorns in 6th place with 38 points from 23 matches, while Chicago Red Stars remained on 16 points with five wins, one draw, and 17 defeats. Portland's recent form included three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games, contrasting with Chicago's single victory and four defeats in the same span. The historical record showed Portland had won four of the last six meetings, including a 2–0 victory at Chicago in May 2026.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 00:13
  • Портленд Торнс (жен.) — 6. place, 38 points after 23 games (11 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses)
  • Чикаго Ред Старс — 16. place, 16 points after 23 games (5 wins, 1 draws, 17 losses)
  • Портленд Торнс (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Чикаго Ред Старс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Портленд Торнс (жен.) — 6, 1 draws, Чикаго Ред Старс — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Portland Thorns Women WDLDW 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Chicago Red Stars Women WLLDL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 13

8Portland Thorns Women 2Draw 3Chicago Red Stars Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+