Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Portland Thorns Women
Chicago Red Stars Women
Prediction for
Win: Portland Thorns Women
75%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 13
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 00:13Portland Thorns secured victory against Chicago Red Stars on 13 September 2026, maintaining their position in the upper half of the NWSL Women table. The result extended Portland's dominance in recent head-to-head meetings, where they have won six of the eight matches played since 2023. Chicago remained in 16th place, continuing a form that has seen them lose 17 of their 23 games this season.
Match Statistics and Performance
Scoring Patterns
Portland's scoring distribution showed they were most dangerous between 31 and 45 minutes, accounting for 25 per cent of their 24 goals in that period. Chicago's goals were more evenly spread, with 30 per cent scored in the 46–60 minute window and another 30 per cent between 76 and 90 minutes. Portland conceded heavily in the final 15 minutes, with 26 per cent of their 23 goals against coming after the 76th minute, a pattern that mirrored Chicago's defensive struggles in the same timeframe.
Table Implications
The win kept Portland Thorns in 6th place with 38 points from 23 matches, while Chicago Red Stars remained on 16 points with five wins, one draw, and 17 defeats. Portland's recent form included three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games, contrasting with Chicago's single victory and four defeats in the same span. The historical record showed Portland had won four of the last six meetings, including a 2–0 victory at Chicago in May 2026.