Racing Club de Montevideo vs Albion FC: match prediction on 31 August 2026

Racing Club de Montevideo to win at 1.96. The hosts lead the table and Albion FC have failed to win in five consecutive matches, conceding eight goals while scoring just five. The market has priced the home side as clear favourite and the model backs that assessment with expected goals of 1.4 to 0.8.

Recent form

Racing Club de Montevideo collected 8 points from their last 5 matches — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. They beat Club Nacional 2:0 at home and won 1:0 against Boston River at home. Albion FC managed only 2 points from their last 5 — 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. They drew 0:0 away at Club Nacional in a cup match and lost 2:3 at home to Boston River.

Head-to-head

Racing Club de Montevideo sit top of the Primera División - Apertura with 31 points from 15 matches. Albion FC are third with 28 points from the same number of games. The two sides met on 28 February 2026 in this competition, when Albion FC hosted Racing Club de Montevideo and lost 1:3.

Model projections

The model expects Racing Club de Montevideo to score 1.4 goals and Albion FC to score 0.8. The most likely scoreline is 1:0 at 15 per cent, followed by 1:1 at 13 per cent and 0:0 at 11 per cent. The probability of a draw is 28%, both teams to score is 41% and three or more goals is 37%. Racing Club de Montevideo have conceded 33% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, which could matter if Albion FC push forward late.

Conclusion

A draw suits Albion FC — and given how they tend to run the clock down in tight matches, that is the main threat to a home victory. Albion FC have drawn 2 of their last 5 and have scored in 4 of those 5, so a 1:1 result is within reach if they can exploit Racing Club de Montevideo's vulnerability in the closing stages.