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Spartak Myjava
Galanta
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75%
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Alingsås HK vs Hammarby IF: match prediction on 6 September 2026
Alingsås HK
Hammarby IF
Prediction for
Win: Hammarby IF
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
50%
1
50%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 16:42- Алингсос — 2. place, 5 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
- Хаммарбю ИФ — 1. place, 6 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
- Алингсос, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Хаммарбю ИФ, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 10 games, Алингсос — 3, Хаммарбю ИФ — 7
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Alingsås HK
LLWWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Hammarby IF
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 10
3Alingsås HK
0Draw
7Hammarby IF
- 15 Oct 2025Hammarby IF — Alingsås HK36:26
- 1 Mar 2025Hammarby IF — Alingsås HK37:39
- 2 Oct 2024Alingsås HK — Hammarby IF29:24
- 19 Dec 2023Alingsås HK — Hammarby IF25:18
- 14 Oct 2023Hammarby IF — Alingsås HK29:26
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 16:42Hammarby IF to win. The visitors lead the Swedish Cup table on six points from three games against Alingsås HK's five, and their seven victories across ten meetings in the last three years give them the edge.
They carry that form into Saturday. Alingsås trail by one point with two victories and a single defeat. Hammarby’s 50:20 and 52:20 wins over Umea prove the margin they can impose.
Alingsås have won three and lost two of their last five, including two defeats away at IFK Kristianstad in May. Hammarby have won four of five, with only a 33:38 home loss to IK Sävehof in April breaking their run. The visitors are coming off back-to-back Cup victories with combined scores of 102:40.
The last meeting ended 36:26. The most recent encounter ended 36:26 to Hammarby in October 2025. Alingsås have won only twice at home against them since 2023, with 25:18 in December 2023 and 29:24 in October 2024. Hammarby have won seven of ten.
The simulation projects 29.5 goals for Alingsås and 29.7 for Hammarby, with a 0% probability for a draw. Injuries sit outside the model. The visitors take it.
Hammarby have not lost to Alingsås at home since March 2025, but the visitors have occasionally dropped points away from home — their sole loss in five came at Sävehof. If Alingsås hold them to a tight contest, the prediction collapses.