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Dijon vs US Créteil: match prediction on 2 October 2026
Dijon
US Créteil
Prediction for
Win: Dijon
73%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
73%
1
27%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 30 Sep, 19:30- Дижон — 6. place, 4 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- ЮС Кретей — 3. place, 8 points after 4 games (4 wins, 0 losses)
- Дижон, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- ЮС Кретей, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Дижон — 2, 1 draws, ЮС Кретей — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Dijon
WWWWW
5 wins
US Créteil
LLWWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 3
2Dijon
1Draw
0US Créteil
- 3 Sep 2024Dijon — US Créteil32:28
- 17 Apr 2024US Créteil — Dijon27:33
- 27 Oct 2023Dijon — US Créteil30:30
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 30 Sep, 19:30Match outcome
The match between Dijon and US Créteil ended in a draw. The teams could not find a winner in the ProLigue fixture on Friday evening. The result left Dijon with four points from four matches and US Créteil with eight points from four matches. The result contradicted the pre-match prediction that gave Dijon a 73% confidence level for a victory.
Recent form and context
US Créteil arrived in the fixture unbeaten, having secured four victories in their previous four league games. Their recent form showed 152 goals scored against 149 conceded across five matches. Dijon, sitting in sixth place, had won two and drawn two of their opening four games. Over their last five matches, Dijon recorded two wins and three losses, scoring 156 goals and conceding 151.
Head-to-head history
The two sides had met three times in recent years. Dijon had gone unbeaten in those encounters, winning two and drawing one. The previous meeting occurred on 3 September 2024 in the French Cup, where Dijon won 32-28 at home. Another meeting in April 2024 saw Dijon win 33-27 away at Créteil. The most recent league encounter in October 2023 ended in a 30-30 draw.
Statistical expectations
Pre-match models predicted a high volume of scoring, estimating 59.4 goals for Dijon and 10.3 for US Créteil. The models assigned a 0% probability to a draw, a 0% probability that both teams would score, and a 0% probability of three or more goals in total. The result defied the models.