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Guneysu vs Trabzon: match prediction on 5 September 2026

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Guneysu Trabzon

Prediction for

Win: Guneysu

50%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

50% 1
50% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 3 Sep, 15:09

Güneyşu to win. The model expects 31.4 goals for each side, yet the probability of a draw sits at 0%, and Güneyşu's recent form—two victories in five outings compared with Trabzon's single win—gives them the edge at home.

Güneyşu have won two of their last five matches, scoring 142 goals while conceding 141. Their most recent outing ended in a 26:39 defeat away at Bursa Nilüfer Belediyespor, but before that they claimed a 31:24 victory away at Mihaliccikspor SK and a 30:30 draw at home against Beykoz Belediyespor. The pattern shows they can score freely but also leak goals. Trabzon have managed only one win from five, netting 170 goals and letting in 189. Their last match was a 34:38 loss at home to Spor Toto, and they have lost four of their past five meetings, including a 35:44 defeat away at Bursa Nilüfer Belediyespor.

The head-to-head record favours Trabzon with two wins from three encounters, but the most recent meeting on 06.12.2025 went 31:34 to Güneyşu at home. Before that, Trabzon won 40:38 at home in December 2024, and Güneyşu edged 33:32 at home in September 2024. All three matches have been high-scoring, and Güneyşu's most recent victory over their opponents came on their own floor.

Both sides sit level on zero points after one match each, with Trabzon in seventh and Güneyşu in ninth. The standings offer little separation, but the model's expected goals figure—31.4 for each team—suggests a tightly contested affair where fine margins will decide the result. The 0% draw probability from the model points toward a decisive outcome, and Güneyşu's superior recent form tips the balance.

The prediction holds only if Güneyşu maintain their defensive structure. A collapse at the back, as seen in their 26:39 loss to Bursa Nilüfer Belediyespor, would shift the momentum entirely. Trabzon have conceded heavily in recent matches—189 goals in five games—and if they repeat that pattern, Güneyşu's attacking output should prevail. The conclusion stops being valid if Güneyşu cannot contain Trabzon's counter-attacks, which have exploited them in previous encounters.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 3 Sep, 15:09
  • Гюнешу — 9. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Трабзон — 7. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Гюнешу, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Трабзон, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Гюнешу — 1, Трабзон — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Guneysu WLDWL 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Trabzon LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 3

1Guneysu 0Draw 2Trabzon
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+