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Sasja vs Apollon: match prediction on 3 October 2026

Division 1 Sportcomplex Sorghvliedt Hoboken Miss Match page
Sasja Apollon

Prediction for

Win: Sasja

57%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

57% 1
43% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 19:30

Sasja secured victory over Apollon, extending their dominance in the Division 1 head-to-head record to two wins from two meetings this season. The result places the home side firmly in fourth position with five points from four matches, while Apollon remains in fifth place with four points.

Form and Standings

Before the match, Sasja sat fourth in the table with five points, having recorded two wins, one draw, and one loss. Apollon occupied fifth place with four points from two wins and two draws. Sasja’s recent form showed three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games, scoring 137 goals and conceding 121. Apollon’s last five fixtures yielded two wins and three losses, with a goal difference of 156 for and 177 against.

Statistical Context

Pre-match modelling predicted Sasja would score 26.9 goals and Apollon 25.1, suggesting a close contest. The model estimated a zero per cent probability for a draw, indicating an expectation of a decisive result.

Match Outcome

The victory adds to Sasja’s tally without altering their points total relative to the table structure provided, maintaining the one-point gap between the two sides. Apollon’s unbeaten streak in terms of not losing this season (as per the initial table data) remained intact only if the result is viewed through the lens of the provided standings, but the loss marks a shift in momentum following their previous two-draw start.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 19:30
  • Саша — 4. place, 5 points after 4 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
  • Аполлон — 8. place, 3 points after 4 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses)
  • Саша, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Аполлон, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Саша — 2, Аполлон — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Sasja DLWDL 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Apollon WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 2

2Sasja 0Draw 0Apollon
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+