Szombathelyi KKA Women vs MTK Budapest Women: match prediction on 5 September 2026

MTK Budapest Women to win at Szombathelyi KKA Women, 65% confidence

MTK arrive with momentum that Szombathelyi cannot match. In their last five matches the visitors claimed four victories, earning 12 points, while the hosts managed a single point from one draw and four defeats. The contrast is stark: Szombathelyi lost 22:39 away to Ferencváros on 31 May and 28:37 at home against Váci NKSE on 24 May. MTK, by comparison, won 34:30 against Kisvárdai KC on 21 August and 31:25 over Budaörs on 14 August.

The head-to-head record offers no comfort to the home side. That margin suggests the visitors can impose themselves, and Szombathelyi's defensive frailties—155 goals conceded in five games—make them vulnerable to an attack that has scored 163 times in the same period.

MTK's 4-1-0 record in their last five includes three comfortable victories in club friendlies, while Szombathelyi's 0-1-4 run shows they struggle to contain opponents regardless of venue.

Szombathelyi's home advantage is limited. They drew 31:31 with Mosonmagyarovar on 9 May and lost 19:23 to Budaörs on 25 April at their own ground.

The pick breaks if Szombathelyi’s keeper returns, or MTK rotate for the cup.

MTK's recent results include a 38:26 victory over Szombathelyi in the Hungarian Cup and three friendlies where they conceded fewer than 30 goals. Szombathelyi's last five matches show a pattern of heavy defeats, with only one game staying within a ten-goal margin. The visitors' confidence from consecutive wins contrasts with the hosts' struggle to secure points.

The table positions place MTK sixth and Szombathelyi tenth, though both teams have played zero matches in the current season. This fixture appears to be an early encounter, meaning form from previous campaigns carries more weight than current standing. MTK's 12 points from five games versus Szombathelyi's single point tells the story.

Expected goals figures of 30.8 for MTK and 30.2 for Szombathelyi suggest a close contest on paper, but the model assigns 0% to a draw and 0% to both teams scoring. MTK's attacking output in their last five matches—163 goals—outpaces Szombathelyi's 123 scored while conceding 155.