Champions League
Kolstad
HC Kriens-Luzern
Prediction for Kolstad — HC Kriens-Luzern
57%
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Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu vs Pyry Nokian: match prediction on 18 September 2026
Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu
Pyry Nokian
Prediction for
Win: Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
59%
1
16%
X
26%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 16:33- Киекко-Пойят Йёнсу — 9. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
- Пырь Нокьян — 7. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
- Киекко-Пойят Йёнсу, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Пырь Нокьян, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Киекко-Пойят Йёнсу — 3, Пырь Нокьян — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Pyry Nokian
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 4
3Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu
0Draw
1Pyry Nokian
- 7 FebPyry Nokian — Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu5:2
- 13 Dec 2025Pyry Nokian — Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu4:5
- 28 Nov 2025Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu — Pyry Nokian4:1
- 13 Nov 2025Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu — Pyry Nokian4:2
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 16:33Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu to win 3:2. The model backs a 3:2 home scoreline, with a 6% chance. The draw probability sits at just 16%, making a home win the clearest outcome.
Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu have not won either Mestis match this season, losing 1:5 at home to IPK and 3:5 away at K-Vantaa. Their last five games show 2 wins and 3 losses, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded. Pyry Nokian have played only once in the league, a 7:1 win at home against KeuPa, but their last five matches include 4 victories and just 1 defeat, scoring 22 goals while conceding 9.
The head-to-head record over recent years favours Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu with 3 wins from 4 meetings, but the most recent encounter on 7 February 2026 ended 5:2 to Pyry Nokian. Pyry lost their last two at home, 4-5 and 4-2.
The model expects Kiekko-Pojat Joensuu to score 3.4 goals and Pyry Nokian 2.3, with a 93% chance of 3 or more total goals and an 87% chance both teams find the net.
If Pyry defend as they did in February, the high-scoring forecast falls apart. A scoreline of 2:2 or lower would also overturn the prediction, given the 5% probability for a 2:2 draw and the model's emphasis on a high-scoring home win.
Confidence: 65%