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Hawke's Bay vs Taranaki: match prediction on 27 September 2026

Bunnings NPC McLean Park Napier Miss Match page
Hawke's Bay Taranaki

Prediction for

Win: Hawke's Bay

74%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

74% 1
26% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 05:14

The match between Hawke's Bay and Taranaki in the Bunnings NPC was scheduled for 27 September 2026, but no final score or match report data has been supplied.

Hawke's Bay entered the fixture in fourth place with 32 points from eight matches, having secured six wins and two defeats. Taranaki occupied ninth place with 24 points from eight matches, consisting of four victories and four defeats. Both sides were drawn with similar recent momentum, each recording three wins and two losses in their previous five outings.

Historical data shows that the teams had met four times in the Bunnings NPC era prior to this date. Taranaki held a 3–1 advantage in those encounters, including a 38–24 victory at home in September 2025. Hawke's Bay's last win in the series was a 26–12 result in October 2025. Statistical models had projected expected scores of 31.7 for Hawke's Bay and 24.3 for Taranaki, with a 0% probability assigned to a draw.

Without the actual match figures, it is impossible to determine how the game concluded or how the standings shifted. The venue for this match is also not specified in the available database.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 05:14
  • Хокс-Бей — 1. place, 32 points after 8 games (6 wins, 2 losses)
  • Таранаки — 8. place, 24 points after 8 games (4 wins, 4 losses)
  • Хокс-Бей, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Таранаки, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Хокс-Бей — 1, Таранаки — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Hawke's Bay LLLLL 5 losses
Taranaki WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 6

3Hawke's Bay 0Draw 3Taranaki
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

More predictions

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+