The Pirates beat the Brewers 7:4 in a regular-season game on Wednesday evening. The result ended a streak of two consecutive losses for the home side against their opponents. To be fair, the visitors had looked comfortable in their previous meetings, winning both games by narrow margins.
And here's the thing about this one — the Pirates finally found an answer. They scored seven runs to the Brewers' four, turning around what had been a difficult period. The three-game sequence between these sides is now level at one win apiece, with the Pirates taking the final word.
Our prediction had gone the other way. We expected the Brewers to finish this mini-series on top, with 67 per cent confidence in their victory. That forecast did not come to pass. The Pirates were the side that held their nerve when it mattered.
The visitors had arrived with momentum from their 20:0 win over the Reds on Monday, but that heavy victory proved to be the outlier rather than the pattern. The Brewers' form since then was more mixed — a win over the Pirates followed by a loss to the Reds.
By then, the Pirates were already three losses deep in their recent run. They had fallen to the Brewers twice and lost two of three against the Cubs. This result changes nothing in the standings, but it breaks the visitors' rhythm.
