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Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Braves vs Phillies: match prediction on 13 September 2026
Braves
Phillies
Prediction for
Win: Phillies
68%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
32%
1
68%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 18:53- Брейвз, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Филлис, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Брейвз — 2, Филлис — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Braves
WWLDD
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Phillies
LLLWW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 6
4Braves
0Draw
2Phillies
- 13 SepBraves — Phillies12:2
- 12 SepBraves — Phillies6:5
- 7 SepPhillies — Braves1:0
- 6 SepPhillies — Braves4:5
- 5 SepPhillies — Braves4:2
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 18:53Phillies take the win in Atlanta
The Phillies are the side to back, and the case rests on their superior scoring output over the last five matches. They have netted 23 runs in that span compared with the Braves' 12, and the model projects 3.7 projected runs for Philadelphia against 2.8 for the hosts.
Both sides arrive with identical records in their most recent outings: two wins and three defeats across five games. The Braves lost their last match 0-1 away at Philadelphia, while the Phillies suffered a 5-6 defeat in the same venue on 11 September. Their form patterns mirror each other, yet the volume of runs tells a different story.
The head-to-head record is evenly split. The Braves won two of the last five meetings and the Phillies three, with the most recent encounter ending 6-5 to Atlanta on 11 September.
The model projects a decisive win, not a tight contest. Philadelphia's projected runs total of 3.7 sits well above the Braves' 2.8, suggesting runs will flow more freely on the visitors' side. The model does not account for the Ronald Acuña Jr. incident, which has stirred debate about baseball's unwritten rules, but the numerical edge still favours the away side.
Atlanta’s only route to victory requires holding Philadelphia to two runs per game. Philadelphia have scored 11 runs in a single game against Houston on 9 September. If Atlanta's defence can limit that output to one or two runs while adding to their own tally through the model's projected 2.8 expected runs, the visitors' advantage evaporates.