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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Cubs
Pirates
Prediction for
Win: Cubs
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 19:20Match analysis
The Pirates defeated the Cubs on Thursday evening, continuing a run of dominance that contrasts sharply with their opponents' struggles. The visitors had won four of their previous five fixtures, accumulating 12 points and scoring 17 goals while conceding 11. The hosts, meanwhile, entered the fixture with a record of one win and four defeats in the same period, having conceded 31 goals to just 21 scored.
The Cubs had suffered losses in four of their last five meetings against opponents, including three consecutive defeats against the Brewers in early September. Their last victory came on 5 September when they beat the Marlins 6-5 away from home. The Pirates, conversely, were coming off a perfect three-game winning streak against the White Sox, including a 9-3 victory on 8 September.
Outcome details
No stalemate
With the Cubs averaging nearly six goals conceded per game in their last five matches and the Pirates averaging just over two, the visitors' attack dictated the game. The visitors' recent form included shutouts, such as their 2-0 win over the White Sox on 10 September, while the hosts had found the net in only two of their last five outings.
For the Pirates, the victory extends their momentum, moving them further from the single defeat they suffered against the Angels on 5 September.