Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Mets vs Phillies: match prediction on 19 September 2026
Mets
Phillies
Prediction for
Win: Mets
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
55%
1
45%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 00:13- Метс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Филлис, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Mets
LLLLL
5 losses
Phillies
LWLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 1
0Mets
0Draw
1Phillies
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 00:13Phillies to win again, 4-3 — the visitors carry momentum from yesterday's 3:0 victory. Drop the pick if the Mets' pitching outperforms their recent form, which has seen them concede 21 runs in five games.
The Mets have lost five straight, scoring just 7 runs while conceding 21. Yesterday's 0:3 defeat to the Phillies capped a run of poor home form — they lost to the Orioles on 14, 15 and 16 September before falling to the Yankees away on 13 September.
The Phillies are in better shape. Three wins in their last five matches, including yesterday's clean sweep in New York. They beat the Nationals twice on the road and took a 9:4 victory over the Braves on 13 September. Their run differential of 20:22 over the same period is less impressive, but the direction is clear.
The Mets lost 0:3 at home yesterday. That result settles little about tonight, but it does show the Phillies found their rhythm against this opponent.
The model expects Mets 4.5 runs, Phillies 4.2 runs. These figures suggest a high-scoring affair where the edge goes to Philadelphia.
Flip the call if New York's relievers keep Philadelphia off the board past the third. Given how the visitors have managed runs — 20 in five games — that is a reasonable threshold. A shutout or one-run game would flip the outcome.