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Millonarios
Barranquilla
Prediction for Millonarios — Barranquilla
77%
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Porto vs ABC Braga: match prediction on 30 September 2026
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for
Win: Porto
72%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
72%
1
28%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 15:09- Порту — 2. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Брага — 6. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Порту, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Брага, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, Порту — 10, 1 draws, Брага — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Porto
WWLWL
3 wins · 2 losses
ABC Braga
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 13
11Porto
1Draw
1ABC Braga
- 18 AugPorto — ABC Braga39:27
- 23 Nov 2025Porto — ABC Braga32:32
- 17 Sep 2025ABC Braga — Porto25:35
- 15 Feb 2025ABC Braga — Porto22:31
- 19 Oct 2024Porto — ABC Braga38:28
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 15:09Porto are heavy favourites to win this Andebol 1 fixture on 5 September. The stats favour Porto: recent form, head-to-head record, and the model's expected goals. Porto have won four of their last five matches, while Braga have lost four of the same five. The model puts Porto's expected goals at 36.7 to Braga's 26.9, with a 0% probability of a draw.
Porto's attack has been strong. In their last five matches they have scored 196 goals while conceding 136. They took a heavy defeat 37:39 away to Barcelona in the Supercopa Iberica on 4 September, but that was a one-off against a European giant. Before that they won 42:20 away at Avanca and 39:27 at home against Braga in a friendly.
Braga's form tells a different story. Their five-match run yields just one victory and four defeats, with 146 goals scored against 168 conceded. Their solitary win came 32:31 at home against A.D. Povoa Andebol Clube on 29 August. Since then they have not played. Before that they lost to Porto 27:39 away in a friendly on 18 August, then suffered defeats to Maritimo both at home and away in May and April. The goals conceded per game average 33.6, a figure that does not bode well against Porto's attack.
Porto have dominated the fixture. In six meetings since May 2024 Porto have won five and drawn one. The most recent friendly on 18 August ended 39:27 to Porto. The last league encounter on 23 November 2025 produced a 32:32 draw. Braga have not beaten Porto in any competition over this period.