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Padres vs Yankees: match prediction on 6 September 2026

MLB Petco Park San Diego Miss Match page
Padres Yankees

Prediction for

Win: Yankees

65%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

35% 1
65% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 4 Sep, 21:26

The Yankees defeated the Padres 5-1 to secure a pivotal victory in their double-header series.

The Yankees arrived with four wins in their last five games, compared to the Padres' single victory in the same period. The 5-1 margin states the fact.

Statistical Context

The pre-match model predicted a tighter contest, forecasting 3.4 runs for the Padres and 4.2 for the Yankees. The model also estimated a 0% probability for a shutout or a tie. The Padres' recent offensive struggles were evident, having conceded 18 runs while scoring only 15 in their previous five outings.

Series Implications

With this result, the Yankees completed a split of the double-header, evening the series at one win apiece after losing the initial encounter 1-5.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 4 Sep, 21:26
  • Падрес, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Нью-Йорк Янкиз, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Padres LWLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Yankees WWLWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 2

1Padres 0Draw 1Yankees
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+