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Phillies vs Braves: match prediction on 5 September 2026
Phillies
Braves
Prediction for
Win: Phillies
80%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
80%
1
20%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 23:09- Филлис, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Атланта Брэйвз, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Phillies
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Braves
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 9
3Phillies
0Draw
6Braves
- 2 OctBraves — Phillies6:2
- 30 SepBraves — Phillies3:4
- 29 SepBraves — Phillies5:3
- 13 SepBraves — Phillies4:9
- 13 SepBraves — Phillies12:2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 23:09Phillies to win, 65%. They are expected to outscore the Braves 4.1 to 2.6, and that gap is wide enough to outweigh yesterday's 5:2 defeat at the same venue.
Both sides arrive on identical recent form. The Phillies have won three of their last five, losing two, while the Braves have the same record—three victories, two defeats. Philadelphia net 16, Atlanta 25. The expectation of four-plus runs for the hosts reflects that offensive edge.
The figures are stark. The model assigns 0% probability to a draw, 0% to both teams scoring, and 0% to three or more runs. The shutout probability is 0%.
The pick flips if Atlanta matches yesterday's five-run barrage. They scored five at the Phillies' home ground; if they do it again, the expectation of 2.6 runs for Atlanta is insufficient. A repeat of that performance would overturn the prediction.