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Pirates vs Cardinals: match prediction on 24 September 2026

MLB PNC Park Pittsburgh Hit Match page
Pirates Cardinals

Prediction for

Win: Pirates

73%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

68% 1
32% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 22 Sep, 17:37

Pirates are the clear favourites for this encounter. They have won four of their last five games while the Cardinals have managed just one victory in the same period. The model expects Pirates to score five runs and Cardinals 3.9, which points towards a home victory. This conclusion holds only if Pirates maintain the momentum from their recent run of wins.

Pirates arrived at this fixture in strong form. Pirates 4W-1L, Cardinals 2W-3L, H2H 2-2. They beat Royals three times in a row at home before losing 1:5 to Cardinals on 23 September, then bounced back with a 2:0 victory over the same opposition the following day.

Cardinals have struggled away from home. Their last five outings yielded two wins and three defeats, scoring 16 runs while conceding 23. They lost 0:2 to Pirates on 22 September after beating them 5:1 the previous day, then suffered heavy defeats against Nationals, including a 1:9 hammering.

The head-to-head record is evenly balanced. Four matches have been played between these sides, with Pirates winning two and Cardinals two.

The model's expectations are clear: Pirates to win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 22 Sep, 17:37
  • Пайретс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Кардиналс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Пайретс — 2, Кардиналс — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Pirates WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss
Cardinals LWLWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 6

3Pirates 0Draw 3Cardinals
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+