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Rays vs Yankees: match prediction on 11 October 2026
Rays
Yankees
Prediction for
Win: Yankees
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
41%
1
59%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 01:05- Рейс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Янки, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Рейс — 4, Янки — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Rays
WWWLW
4 wins · 1 loss
Yankees
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 7
4Rays
0Draw
3Yankees
- 8 OctYankees — Rays3:4
- 6 OctRays — Yankees5:2
- 3 OctRays — Yankees1:0
- 25 SepYankees — Rays6:4
- 24 SepYankees — Rays9:2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 01:05Recent Form and Head-to-Head
The Rays arrived at the fixture with momentum, having scored 25 goals in their last five matches while conceding only 13. Their loss against the Phillies on 27 September was their only setback in that span. The Yankees, by contrast, had scored 23 goals in the same period but conceded 12, losing three of their last five games.
In the last seven meetings between these sides, the Rays have won four and the Yankees three. The most recent clash on 8 October saw the Rays win 4-3 away from home. Previous results in this run include a 5-2 win for the Rays at home on 6 October and a 1-0 victory on 3 October.
Match Expectations and Outcome
Pre-match models predicted a high-scoring affair, with expected goals set at 3.8 for the Rays and 4.1 for the Yankees.
Implications
The Yankees' poor run of form continues, while the Rays' consistency is evident in their four wins in five games and their ability to perform away from home against their division rivals.