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Rockies vs Padres: match prediction on 17 September 2026

MLB Coors Field Denver Hit Match page
Rockies Padres

Prediction for

Win: Padres

73%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

27% 1
73% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Sep, 01:53

The simulation gives the Padres 5.0 expected runs and the Rockies 3.6. Those are not predictions of exact scores but averages across many versions of the match. What they do suggest is that the Padres' attack, which has scored 31 runs in five games, is operating at a higher level than the Rockies' defence, which has conceded 36 in the same period.

They have not tasted victory since the 16th, when they dismantled the Padres 9:3.

The two sides have split the first two meetings of this three-game set. The Padres won 8:7 on the 15th after losing 9:3 the day before. The 9:3 result was an outlier in the other direction — a single game where the hosts outscored their visitors by six runs. The 8:7 result is more representative of how these encounters tend to finish.

The Rockies have shown they can score big at home, as the 9:3 result proves, and if they find an early breakthrough the momentum could shift.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Sep, 01:53
  • Роки, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Падрес, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Rockies LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Padres WLWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 3

1Rockies 0Draw 2Padres
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+