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Tigers vs Pirates: match prediction on 27 September 2026

MLB Comerica Park Detroit Hit Match page
Tigers Pirates

Prediction for

Win: Pirates

58%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

42% 1
58% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 20:15

Tigers clinch series victory over Pirates

The Tigers defeated the Pirates 4-3 on Sunday evening to secure the final leg of a three-match series in Major League Baseball. The result follows a 4-3 Tigers win on Saturday and an 8-7 Tigers victory on Friday. The Pirates had won two of the five meetings between the sides earlier in the year, but the Tigers took control of this final set with consecutive narrow successes. The Tigers’ record for the last five matches shows three wins and two losses, while the Pirates recorded two wins and three defeats in the same period.

The forecast carried zero per cent probability for a draw and zero per cent for both teams to score. The actual outcome of 4-3 contradicted the prediction that three or more total runs were unlikely. The Pirates scored three runs, and the Tigers scored four, but did not concede either.

Previous head-to-head results indicate a close rivalry. Earlier in August, the Pirates won two games, while the Tigers won one. In the immediate run-up to this weekend, the Tigers have dominated the visitors at their home venue. The Tigers scored 24 runs in their last five home games and conceded 19, whereas the Pirates scored 15 runs in their last five away matches and conceded 18. The Tigers have now won two straight meetings against the Pirates.

The Tigers have ended their five-match run with a win. They will finish their recent schedule with a record of three wins and two losses. The Pirates conclude their recent schedule with two wins and three losses. The Pirates failed to win the series despite securing victories against the Cardinals earlier in the month.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 20:15
  • Тайгерс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Пираты, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Тайгерс — 1, Пираты — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Tigers LLWWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Pirates LWLLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 5

3Tigers 0Draw 2Pirates
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+