ALBA Berlin vs Fraport Skyliners: match prediction on 24 September 2026

The home side have won every one of the six meetings on record and are playing with far more confidence. They have taken four wins from five, while the visitors have managed only one victory in the same period. The model puts ALBA on 88 points against 75.3 for the visitors.

ALBA Berlin's recent run has been solid. They beat Chemnitz 89:82 at home on 18 September, then took two away victories against Bayern Munich in June. The only blemish came in a 83:91 defeat to Bayern at home earlier that month. They scored 413 points in those five games, conceding 394. The side is scoring consistently and does not look vulnerable.

Fraport Skyliners are struggling. Their sole win came against Jena in the German Cup on 13 September, a 94:63 victory that tells us little about their league prospects. They lost heavily to Ulm 64:103, fell 82:86 away at Chemnitz, and were beaten 72:104 at home by Bonn. They conceded 443 points in five matches, averaging nearly 89 per game. The defence is porous.

The head-to-head record does not help the visitors. ALBA Berlin have won all six encounters. The most recent meeting on 26 April saw Fraport lose 61:87 at home. Fraport have never managed a win.

The model expects ALBA to outscore the visitors by roughly 13 points. The chance of a draw is 0%, which is logical for basketball. This conclusion stops holding if Fraport find a way to slow the game down significantly or if ALBA suffer a late injury to a key scorer.

ALBA Berlin to win.