Ankara D.S.I. vs Mersin Büyükşehir Belediyesi: match prediction on 19 September 2026

Ankara D.S.I. to win. The visitors have not secured a single victory in their last five matches while the hosts have picked up two, and the model projects Mersin Büyükşehir Belediyesi to score 95.7 points against Ankara's 71.9 — a spread that favours the side with better recent results when the game opens up.

Recent form

Ankara D.S.I. lost 62:113 away to Harem Spor on 12 September 2026 and 65:81 at home to Çayırova Belediyesi on 18 April 2026, but they won 77:70 against Final Spor and 84:80 versus Konya BBSK at home. They won two of five, conceding 438 points while scoring 369.

Mersin Büyükşehir Belediyesi lost every game in their last five outings. They fell 80:90 away to Trabzonspor, 86:88 at home to Anadolu Efes Istanbul, 93:101 away to Merkezefendi, 84:86 at home to Bursaspor, and 78:88 away to Esenler Erokspor. They accumulated 0 points and conceded 453 points while scoring 421.

Model expectations

The statistical model gives Ankara D.S.I. 71.9 expected points and Mersin Büyükşehir Belediyesi 95.7. The draw probability sits at 0%, and 3 or more points at 0%. Those figures suggest a game decided by margin rather than a tight contest.

What changes the outcome

This pick fails if the match is unofficial or the season fixtures are unconfirmed.

The model's split on expected points does not override the fact that Ankara has shown they can win at home while Mersin have not won anywhere in five attempts.