Anorthosis vs ETHA Engomi: match prediction on 19 October 2026

Anorthosis are heavy favourites against ETHA Engomi on Sunday. The model expects 91.3 points for the hosts and 73.4 for the visitors, with a 0% probability of a draw. Anorthosis have won every one of the last six meetings between these sides and are playing at home. ETHA Engomi have yet to find a way past them.

The hosts enter the match after a 79:92 defeat away to Paralimni on 11 October. That result left them at the bottom of the table with zero points from one game. Their last five matches show one win and four losses, scoring 393 points while conceding 438. The sole victory came against ETHA Engomi themselves on 7 March, when they won 90:78 at home. Since then they have lost four consecutive games, including narrow defeats to AEL and Apoel BC.

ETHA Engomi sit seventh after beating Morphou 76:65 at home on 9 October. They share the same record over their last five matches — one win, four losses — but have scored 416 points and conceded 476. Their only victory in that run came against Morphou, and their away form has been particularly poor, with losses to Keravnos and Morphou on the road. They lost 78:90 to Anorthosis in their previous encounter on 7 March.

Anorthosis have won all six meetings since February 2024. The margins have been consistent: 93:62, 90:81, 90:78, 97:93, 71:58 and 90:78. ETHA Engomi have not managed a single victory in that span. The most recent meeting was a 12-point win for Anorthosis at home. The visitors have never taken points from the hosts in the current decade.

Anorthosis are projected to score 91.3 points, while ETHA Engomi are expected to manage 73.4. The draw probability sits at 0%, and the probability of three or more scoring differences is similarly zero. The model sees a clear separation.

Anorthosis need to maintain their home advantage and avoid the complacency that has crept into their recent performances. ETHA Engomi must find a way to contain the hosts' scoring, something they have failed to do in every previous meeting. A draw suits neither side in basketball, but the visitors would have to significantly improve their defence and execution to avoid another defeat.

This conclusion stops holding if ETHA Engomi can replicate the defensive intensity they showed against Morphou, when they limited their opponents to 65 points. If they can restrict Anorthosis to under 80 points and maintain their own scoring output above 75, the gap narrows considerably.