Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Prediction for
Win: Tigers-KazATU
58%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 4
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 13:05Tigers-KazATU are 58% likely to win at Arlans on 13 October. The visitors have won three of the last four meetings between these sides, including a 26-point demolition in the most recent encounter on 10 October. The model projects Tigers-KazATU to score 77.7 points against Arlans' 72.8.
Arlans have lost three consecutive games, conceding 101 points to Bars Petropavlovsk and 95 to Tigers-KazATU in their last two outings. Their only wins in this span came against weaker opposition — a 73:49 home victory over Pavlodar BC and a 91:87 away win at Tigers-KazATU in May. The defence has been porous: 276 points conceded in the last three matches alone. Tigers-KazATU scored 95 in their most recent meeting and the model expects them to score again.
The other two matches were tighter — Arlans won 91:87 in May and 71:67 in March, but both victories were by single digits.
Tigers-KazATU are not in great form themselves. They have lost four of their last five matches, including a 70:74 defeat away to Bars Petropavlovsk and a 58:67 home loss to Karaganda. Their only win in this period came against Arlans on 10 October. The 58% projection indicates a narrow edge — a single poor half could reverse the result.
Arlans could upset the projection if they return to the form that produced the 73:49 and 91:87 victories. The model expects 72.8 points for the hosts. A defensive performance closer to those two wins — conceding 49 and 87 respectively — would change the balance.