Elitzur Shomron vs Elitzur Maccabi Netanya: match prediction on 13 October 2026

Netanya backed to extend dominance

Elitzur Maccabi Netanya are the clear favourites for this Liga Leumit encounter, with the model assigning them a 72% probability of victory. The visitors have dominated the recent history between these sides, winning five of the last seven meetings. While Elitzur Shomron have shown flashes of competitiveness, the trajectory of their head-to-head record points towards another win for the away side.

Both teams enter the fixture with identical recent records of two wins and three losses, but the context differs significantly. Shomron played their last five games in May, while Netanya’s most recent action was in June. Shomron lost their final three outings, including heavy defeats against Ironi Nahariya, whereas Netanya secured a victory in their last match against Maccabi Raanana with a 89:77 scoreline. The timing of the form suggests Netanya are fresher, having played more recently.

The historical edge remains firmly with the visitors. In seven encounters since March 2023, Elitzur Maccabi Netanya have claimed five victories. Their most recent meeting on 03.05.2024 ended in an 82:68 win for the visitors. The pattern of results indicates a side that consistently outperforms its opponents in this pairing.

The statistical model presents a stark projection for the points total. It expects Elitzur Shomron to score 41.6 points, while Elitzur Maccabi Netanya are projected to reach 170. The model also assigns a 0% probability to a draw, suggesting a decisive outcome is virtually certain. These figures imply a significant disparity in expected performance, favouring a comprehensive victory for the visitors despite their own mixed form in June.

This conclusion relies on the model’s high-scoring projection for Netanya and their historical superiority. The prediction would not hold if Shomron can limit the scoring to a much lower threshold or if Netanya fail to convert their offensive opportunities into the volume of points anticipated. A defensive masterclass from the hosts or a sudden slump from the visitors would alter the landscape entirely.

Key factors

• Head-to-head record: Elitzur Maccabi Netanya won 5 of the last 7 meetings.
• Recent form: Both sides have 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games.
• Model projection: Netanya 170 points, Shomron 41.6 points.
• Confidence level: 72% for a Netanya win.