Elitzur Yavne vs Hapoel Haifa: match prediction on 16 October 2026

Hapoel Haifa to win. The visitors have taken both meetings this season by narrow margins and the model projects a clear scoring advantage for them. Sixty-eight per cent confidence rests on that pattern holding.

Elitzur Yavne have won three and lost two of their last five. They scored 400 points and conceded 404 across those matches. The home side beat Maccabi Kiryat Gat 80:70 away and Safed 93:86 at home, but lost to Maccabi Petah Tikva 72:92, Migdal Haemek 83:92 and Maccabi Maale Adumim 72:64. The recent run shows no draws, only wins and defeats.

Hapoel Haifa also sit on three wins and two losses from five games. They have scored 441 points and allowed 436. Victories came against Maccabi Rehovot 89:78, Safed 97:84 and Migdal Haemek 104:99. Defeats followed against Elitzur Shomron 76:88 and 75:87. The away side have been more prolific in scoring while conceding roughly the same volume.

Both teams met twice this season. Elitzur Yavne lost 99:101 at home on 27 March and 103:104 away on 24 November. Each game was decided by one or two points. The visitors have shown they can edge these tight encounters. The model expects Elitzur Yavne to score 78.6 points and Hapoel Haifa 93, a gap that mirrors the historical pattern.

The prediction stops holding if Elitzur Yavne replicate their highest-scoring home game against Safed and restrict Hapoel Haifa below their recent average. A result within five points of the model's projection would suggest the visitors' advantage has narrowed. The conclusion also fails if Hapoel Haifa drop below the 84 points they averaged across their five-match sample.

Service pick: Hapoel Haifa win. Confidence: 68%.