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Phoenix Mercury Women vs Toronto Tempo Women: match prediction on 30 August 2026

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Phoenix Mercury Women Toronto Tempo Women

Prediction for

Win: Phoenix Mercury Women

55%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

55% 1
45% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 03:14

Phoenix Mercury vs Toronto Tempo

Phoenix Mercury play Toronto Tempo in an upcoming fixture. The odds suggest a 91.5 to 86.1 scoreline, favouring the Phoenix side by a small margin. This projection rests on Phoenix’s slightly stronger season record of 13 wins against 25 losses, compared to Toronto’s 11 victories and 27 defeats.

Phoenix have won just one of their last five games, a run that includes a 94:87 win away to Los Angeles Sparks followed by three consecutive home defeats. Toronto Tempo sit in a similar position, having lost four of their last five matches, including a tough 78:90 trip to Seattle Storm. Both teams are averaging over 80 points per game recently, suggesting an open contest where defensive errors will be punished.

Toronto Tempo have improved their field goal percentage to 68 per cent over the last ten games, outperforming Phoenix’s 64.1 per cent. However, the hosts manage the ball better, committing 13.1 turnovers per game compared to Toronto’s 14.9. This discipline allows Phoenix to generate 21.3 assists per match, slightly ahead of Toronto’s 20.1.

The head-to-head record provides no decisive edge. The two teams split their previous two meetings, with Phoenix winning 89:80 in June and Toronto responding with a 98:90 victory in May.

The margin is slim, and a single quarter where Toronto outshoots Phoenix could decide the result.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 03:14
  • Феникс Меркури — 7. place, 0 points after 38 games (13 wins, 25 losses)
  • Торонто Темпо (жен.) — 6. place, 0 points after 38 games (11 wins, 27 losses)
  • Феникс Меркури, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Торонто Темпо (жен.), last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Феникс Меркури — 1, Торонто Темпо (жен.) — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Phoenix Mercury Women WWLWL 3 wins · 2 losses
Toronto Tempo Women LLLLL 5 losses

Head to head 2

1Phoenix Mercury Women 0Draw 1Toronto Tempo Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+