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Fuerza Regia de Monterrey vs El Calor de Cancun: match prediction on 26 September 2026

LNBP Gimnasio Nuevo León Monterrey Hit Match page
Fuerza Regia de Monterrey El Calor de Cancun

Prediction for

Win: Fuerza Regia de Monterrey

60%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

60% 1
40% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 23:34

Fuerza Regia de Monterrey secure victory over El Calor de Cancun

Fuerza Regia de Monterrey defeated El Calor de Cancun with a final score of 82 to 74 in the LNBP on 26 September 2026. The result extended the home side’s dominant run of form, bringing their total wins in the last five matches to four. El Calor de Cancun’s poor run continued, marking their fourth loss in the same period.

Scoring and statistical dominance

The match model had predicted a higher-scoring contest, forecasting 89.8 points for Fuerza Regia de Monterrey and 79.6 for El Calor de Cancun. In the end, the home side fell short of that average, but the 8-point margin confirmed their superiority over the visitors. El Calor de Cancun maintained a slight advantage in rebounds (31.5 to 30.4 per game average) and assists (19.1 to 17.5), but Fuerza Regia de Monterrey’s defensive discipline, reflected in fewer turnovers (10.7 compared to 12.9), allowed them to control the pace.

Historical context and head-to-head record

This outcome reinforced Fuerza Regia de Monterrey’s standing in recent head-to-head encounters. Over the last nine meetings recorded, they have won five matches to El Calor de Cancun’s four. While El Calor de Cancun secured a rare victory in July 2025 when they won 82 to 75, the home side’s consistency at their venue has been the deciding factor in most clashes, including this latest result.

Implications for both squads

The win moved Fuerza Regia de Monterrey further ahead in their recent momentum, having scored 456 points in their last five games while conceding 394. El Calor de Cancun, conversely, saw their goal difference worsen, conceding 429 points across five matches while scoring 418. The result leaves the home side on a positive trajectory heading into future fixtures, while the visitors must address their inability to convert close games into victories.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 23:34
  • Ферса Регия де Монтеррей, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Эль Калор де Канкун, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Ферса Регия де Монтеррей — 5, Эль Калор де Канкун — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Fuerza Regia de Monterrey WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses
El Calor de Cancun LWWWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 10

6Fuerza Regia de Monterrey 0Draw 4El Calor de Cancun
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