Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Germany Women
Prediction for
Win: Germany Women
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 1
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 09:19Germany are favourites against South Korea, and the model sits at 65%.
Germany have won their last two matches at home, beating Mali 83:58 and Japan 74:58, while their overall record in the last five games shows two victories and three defeats. They have scored 334 points and conceded 330 across those five matches, averaging 66.8 points per game. Their recent form has been uneven, with heavy losses away to Spain (53:83) and two narrow defeats at home against Turkey (62:63) and Hungary (62:68), but the home court has been a reliable fortress recently.
South Korea have won only one of their last five matches, a 99:81 victory at home against Nigeria, and have lost four games including two heavy defeats away to Hungary (73:82) and France (69:95). They have scored 382 points and conceded 415, averaging 76.4 points per game. They’ve lost three on the road in five, and they have struggled to contain opponents' scoring.
The head-to-head record between these sides is minimal but telling. They met once on 11 March 2026, when Germany won 76:49 at home. That result came in the same FIBA World Cup tournament, and South Korea have not recorded a win against Germany in that fixture.
The model projects Germany to score 74.2 points and South Korea 70.9, with a 0% probability of a draw. Germany grabs 39 rebounds to Korea’s 20.33. Korea shoots 65 per cent to 63.67, but concedes 21 fouls a game to Germany’s 15.33.