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70%
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Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks: match prediction on 11 October 2026
Houston Rockets
Dallas Mavericks
Prediction for
Win: Houston Rockets
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
59%
1
41%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 11:05- Хьюстон Рокетс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Даллас Маверикс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 16 games, Хьюстон Рокетс — 7, Даллас Маверикс — 9
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Houston Rockets
WLWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Dallas Mavericks
WWLWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 24
10Houston Rockets
0Draw
14Dallas Mavericks
- 9 OctDallas Mavericks — Houston Rockets117:135
- 1 FebHouston Rockets — Dallas Mavericks111:107
- 4 JanDallas Mavericks — Houston Rockets110:104
- 7 Dec 2025Dallas Mavericks — Houston Rockets122:109
- 4 Nov 2025Houston Rockets — Dallas Mavericks110:102
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 11:05Rockets complete the double over Mavericks
The Houston Rockets beat the Dallas Mavericks 135-117 at the Toyota Center on 11 October 2026, securing a second victory over their Texas rivals within two days. The result extended Houston's winning streak to three games following two defeats, while the Mavericks fell to four losses after three wins in their last five meetings. The scoreline followed their previous meeting on 9 October, when the Rockets had also won 135-117, this time in Dallas.
Scoring and team metrics
Houston averaged 47% field goal accuracy and 47% from three-point range in their recent ten games, compared with Dallas's 44% from two and 44% from distance. The Rockets recorded 44.8 rebounds and 23.4 assists per game, while Dallas collected 44.5 rebounds and 25.5 assists. Houston's free-throw percentage stood at 83%, slightly higher than Dallas's 81%. The Mavericks committed fewer turnovers on average (13.1) than Houston (14.3), but Houston secured more steals (10.6) and blocks (5.3).
Squad and coaching context
The Rockets bolstered their roster in September with Marcus Smart, who signed a two-year, $13 million deal. Kevin Durant remains with the team and commented that Houston's young players gained from their recent playoff test. Coach Ime Udoka acknowledged the previous season's outcome, stating the Rockets would not stagnate after another first-round exit. Dallas retained Dwight Powell on a non-guaranteed extension and Kyrie Irving committed to staying with the club. First-time head coach Dusty May has instructed his side to play at a high pace.
Historical standings
In sixteen meetings over recent years, Dallas holds nine victories to Houston's seven. The Rockets have now won both encounters this season. The Mavericks have not lost consecutive home games to Houston in this period.