Superliga Women
Prediction for Piotrcovia Women — Ruch Kalisz Women
62%
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LUGI HF Women
AIK Women
Prediction for
Win: LUGI HF Women
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 6
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 26 Sep, 17:15AIK Women to win — they have taken three of their last five matches and won the last two meetings with LUGI HF Women, while the home side has lost four of five.
The visitors arrived in better shape. In their last five games AIK Women won three, drew once and lost once, collecting ten points from a possible fifteen. Their goal difference of fifteen across those matches suggests a side that can both score and defend, even if the results were not always clean. LUGI HF Women managed only one victory in the same period, with four defeats and a negative goal difference of twelve.
AIK Women have flipped the script in recent encounters. The last six meetings were won four times by LUGI and twice by AIK, but the two most recent fixtures went the other way. On 16 August AIK won 28:27 at home, and on 22 August they took a 31:27 victory away from home in the Swedish Cup. The visitors have found a way past the home side in the last two games.
Both teams are listed with zero points and zero matches played in the standings. The league table tells us nothing about this fixture. What matters is the form over the last five games, and on that measure AIK Women are the stronger side. LUGI have scored 126 goals and conceded 138, while AIK have scored 155 and conceded 150. The visitors are more potent offensively.
The statistical model projects 28.4 goals for LUGI and 25.6 for AIK, indicating a high-scoring handball match. The most likely outcome is a victory for the visitors, with AIK's recent form and head-to-head record supporting that view.
This prediction stops holding if LUGI can replicate their earlier dominance in the head-to-head. They won four of the last six meetings, including a 38:20 victory in March 2025. If the home side can match that performance level, or if AIK drop points in their next away fixture, the confidence in a visitors' win would collapse. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat.