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LUGI HF Women vs AIK Women: match prediction on 31 October 2026

Allsvenskan Women Sparbanken Skåne Arena Lund Pending Match page
LUGI HF Women AIK Women

Prediction for

Win: LUGI HF Women

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

59% 1
41% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 26 Sep, 17:15

AIK Women to win — they have taken three of their last five matches and won the last two meetings with LUGI HF Women, while the home side has lost four of five.

The visitors arrived in better shape. In their last five games AIK Women won three, drew once and lost once, collecting ten points from a possible fifteen. Their goal difference of fifteen across those matches suggests a side that can both score and defend, even if the results were not always clean. LUGI HF Women managed only one victory in the same period, with four defeats and a negative goal difference of twelve.

AIK Women have flipped the script in recent encounters. The last six meetings were won four times by LUGI and twice by AIK, but the two most recent fixtures went the other way. On 16 August AIK won 28:27 at home, and on 22 August they took a 31:27 victory away from home in the Swedish Cup. The visitors have found a way past the home side in the last two games.

Both teams are listed with zero points and zero matches played in the standings. The league table tells us nothing about this fixture. What matters is the form over the last five games, and on that measure AIK Women are the stronger side. LUGI have scored 126 goals and conceded 138, while AIK have scored 155 and conceded 150. The visitors are more potent offensively.

The statistical model projects 28.4 goals for LUGI and 25.6 for AIK, indicating a high-scoring handball match. The most likely outcome is a victory for the visitors, with AIK's recent form and head-to-head record supporting that view.

This prediction stops holding if LUGI can replicate their earlier dominance in the head-to-head. They won four of the last six meetings, including a 38:20 victory in March 2025. If the home side can match that performance level, or if AIK drop points in their next away fixture, the confidence in a visitors' win would collapse. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 26 Sep, 17:15
  • ЛУГИ ХФ (жен.), last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • АИК Женщины, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, ЛУГИ ХФ (жен.) — 4, АИК Женщины — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

LUGI HF Women LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
AIK Women WWLDL 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 6

4LUGI HF Women 0Draw 2AIK Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+