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Indiana Fever Women vs Washington Mystics Women: match prediction on 20 September 2026

NBA Women Gainbridge Fieldhouse Indianapolis Miss Match page
Indiana Fever Women Washington Mystics Women

Prediction for

Win: Indiana Fever Women

56%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

56% 1
44% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 18 Sep, 21:04

Washington Mystics Extend Dominance in Indiana

Washington Mystics defeated Indiana Fever 93 to 77 in the WNBA on 20 September 2026. The result consolidated Washington’s position in the standings while keeping Indiana on track for a high finish. Washington moved to 26 wins and 16 defeats, while Indiana reached 27 wins and 15 losses after their respective 42nd matches of the season.

Washington controlled the physical battle, out-rebounding Indiana 37.6 to 31.3 on average this season. Their advantage in the paint was significant, averaging 46.4 points inside compared to Indiana’s 42.0. Indiana relied heavily on perimeter shooting, attempting 26.6 three-pointers per game against Washington’s 19.6, but the visitors’ defensive rebounding of 28.1 limited second-chance opportunities for the hosts. Washington’s offensive efficiency was evident in their 50.3 per cent field-goal percentage.

The victory marked Washington’s fourth win in their last five matches, improving their scoring average to 91.8 points per game over that period. Indiana, by contrast, had won three of their last five but conceded an average of 93.6 points. The visitors’ defensive discipline was reflected in their higher turnover rate of 14.8 compared to Indiana’s 10.9, though the hosts protected the ball more consistently. Washington’s ability to score in transition, averaging 6.1 fast-break points, contrasted with Indiana’s 11.3, highlighting different tactical approaches.

This outcome reversed the earlier meeting on 8 June, when Indiana had beaten Washington 78 to 76. The result leaves Indiana in second place and Washington in fourth, with the gap between them narrowing as the season progresses. Predictions had favoured Indiana, but the visitors’ defensive solidity proved decisive.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 18 Sep, 21:04
  • Индиана Фивер — 2. place, 0 points after 40 games (26 wins, 14 losses)
  • Вашингтон Мистикс (жен.) — 4. place, 0 points after 40 games (24 wins, 16 losses)
  • Индиана Фивер, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Вашингтон Мистикс (жен.), last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, Индиана Фивер — 8, Вашингтон Мистикс (жен.) — 7

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Indiana Fever Women WWLWL 3 wins · 2 losses
Washington Mystics Women LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 22

9Indiana Fever Women 0Draw 13Washington Mystics Women
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+