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Italy Women vs USA Women: match prediction on 6 September 2026

FIBA World Cup Women Rotating venues Rome Miss Match page
Italy Women USA Women

Prediction for

Win: Italy Women

92%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

92% 1
8% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 15:54

The American side maintained their perfect five-match winning streak, while the hosts suffered their first defeat in five games.

Entering the fixture, the Americans had won all five of their matches, scoring 463 points while allowing 284. Italy, by contrast, had won four of their previous five games, losing one away to Belgium in mid-August.

The two sides met previously on 14 March 2026 in a World Cup fixture played in the United States. That game ended in a 93-59 win for the USA, a result that stood as their only head-to-head encounter in recent years. Italy's previous outing on 4 September saw them beat the Czech Republic 63-54 away from home.

In their most recent game before this match, played on 4 September against China, the Americans recorded 76 field goals and 12 successful three-point shots. Italy's statistics for their last five matches showed a combined tally of 350 points for and 327 against.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 15:54
  • Италия, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • США (жен.), last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Италия — 0, США (жен.) — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Italy Women WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses
USA Women WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 1

0Italy Women 0Draw 1USA Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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