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Jurbarkas vs Palanga: match prediction on 8 October 2026

Jurbarkas Palanga

Prediction for

Win: Jurbarkas

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

59% 1
41% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 6 Oct, 17:05

Jurbarkas defeat Palanga to extend dominance in head-to-head

Both teams entered the contest with identical recent records of two wins and three defeats in their last five matches. Jurbarkas had accumulated 419 points for and 425 against across those fixtures, while Palanga recorded 431 points for and 411 against. Jurbarkas came into the game following a loss to Gargždai in the King Mindaugas Cup on 6 October, having secured narrow wins against BC Kauno Atletas and Alytaus Patriotai shortly before. Palanga had also lost their previous outing, falling 85-90 to Jurbarkas in March.

Pre-match statistical models predicted a high-scoring affair, forecasting Jurbarkas to score 83.7 points and Palanga to respond with 77. The models indicated a 0% probability of a draw, reinforcing the expectation of a decisive result. These figures suggest that the match was expected to be open and fluid, with both sides likely to engage in offensive play. The disparity in expected goals further supported the view that Jurbarkas, playing at home, would have the edge in the final tally.

The head-to-head record over the past year shows a clear shift in momentum. After Palanga won 94-91 in November 2025, Jurbarkas reclaimed the upper hand with victories in January and March 2026. This latest result reinforces the 2-1 advantage Jurbarkas holds in this fixture. The consistency of Jurbarkas’s recent wins against Palanga, particularly in high-scoring encounters, highlights a tactical or structural edge that has persisted across the season.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 6 Oct, 17:05
  • Юрбаркас, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Паланга, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Юрбаркас — 1, Паланга — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Jurbarkas WWLWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Palanga WLWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 3

1Jurbarkas 0Draw 2Palanga
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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