Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
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70%
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Karaganda vs Bars Petropavlovsk: match prediction on 13 October 2026
Karaganda
Bars Petropavlovsk
Prediction for
Win: Bars Petropavlovsk
70%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
30%
1
70%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 11:05- Караганда, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Барс Петропавловск, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 15 games, Караганда — 0, Барс Петропавловск — 15
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Karaganda
LWWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Bars Petropavlovsk
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 22
2Karaganda
0Draw
20Bars Petropavlovsk
- 10 OctKaraganda — Bars Petropavlovsk66:95
- 16 Nov 2025Bars Petropavlovsk — Karaganda84:59
- 14 Nov 2025Bars Petropavlovsk — Karaganda81:56
- 6 Mar 2025Karaganda — Bars Petropavlovsk48:64
- 31 Jan 2025Karaganda — Bars Petropavlovsk39:76
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 11:05Bars Petropavlovsk will win. The visitor has taken all six recorded meetings between the sides, most recently by 29 points at Karaganda's own court on 10 October.
Bars Petropavlovsk beat Karaganda 95:66 away on 10 October 2026, then 84:59 and 81:56 at home in November 2025. Earlier meetings in March and January 2025 ended 64:48 and 76:39 to Bars. The most lopsided result came on 15 December 2024 when Bars won 114:39 at Karaganda. Six meetings, six victories for the visitors. The margin ranges from 17 to 75 points.
Recent form shows Bars playing with more consistency. Their last five matches produced four wins and one loss — a 101:70 victory over Arlans at home on 11 October. Both sides lost their most recent fixture, Karaganda 66:95 to Bars on 10 October, Bars 72:84 to Turan on 30 April.
The model expects 82.2 points for Bars Petropavlovsk and 65.8 for Karaganda. Those figures align with the scoring patterns visible in the head-to-head: Bars has scored between 76 and 114 points in their wins, while Karaganda's highest output in losses was 66.
A Karaganda victory would require them to close the gap that has existed across every meeting this season. They have not beaten Bars in six attempts, including the 29-point defeat on 10 October at home. The visitors have shown they can extend leads further, as seen in the 114:39 result last December. Karaganda's recent technical loss against Arlan due to missing medical services at their arena does not improve their chances against a side that has dominated them completely.
Outcome: Bars Petropavlovsk win.