Las Vegas Aces Women vs Golden State Valkyries Women: match prediction on 10 October 2026

I see no reason to back the visitors here despite their recent dominance over the home side. The model expects Las Vegas Aces to edge 81 to 79.5, and I'm backing that narrow margin with 53% confidence.

The Aces have lost three of their last five, but two of those defeats came against the Valkyries themselves. Their other results show wins against Indiana Fever Women at home and a loss away to the same opposition. The Valkyries, meanwhile, have won four of five, including both meetings with Las Vegas this month. Their only setback was a 100:108 defeat to Dallas Wings Women on the road.

Head-to-head tells a different story. Across eight meetings, the Aces have won six while the Valkyries have claimed two. The Valkyries have won the last two encounters, but those were both at their own venue. The Aces won both games at home in June and August.

In the standings, the Valkyries sit second with 32 victories from 44 matches, one ahead of Las Vegas on 31 wins. The gap between them is minimal, and both sides have dropped more than a quarter of their games.

The model's expectation of 81 points for the Aces suggests they will find their rhythm at home. This conclusion stops holding if the Valkyries replicate the defensive pressure that limited Las Vegas to 60 points in their October meeting.