Malaysia Women vs Chinese Taipei Women: match preview on 21 September 2026

Chinese Taipei to win

Chinese Taipei are the clear favourites here. They beat Malaysia 84-60 in their last meeting on 10 July, and the gap between them has only widened since. Malaysia's recent 40-106 hammering by South Korea shows they are struggling at this level, while Chinese Taipei have shown they can compete — their 76-67 win over Mongolia proves they can close out games against regional opposition.

The form lines look similar on paper: both sides have two wins and three losses from their last five matches, both sitting on six points. But the goal differences tell a different story. Malaysia have scored 299 and conceded 305, a near-even balance. Chinese Taipei have scored 315 but let in 415 — a 100-goal deficit that suggests defensive frailty, yet also a capacity to score freely when they are playing well.

Malaysia's three defeats this year all came by narrow margins: 7 points to Indonesia, 8 to Thailand, and now 66 to South Korea. The South Korea result is an outlier that skews their recent form. Before that, they were competitive. Chinese Taipei's losses have been heavier — 44 to Japan, 53 to Japan, 44 to China — but they also produced a 92-60 victory over Thailand in July 2024, showing they can dominate when things click.

The head-to-head is the most telling piece of evidence. Chinese Taipei won by 24 points in July, and they did so away from home. That result alone suggests a level of superiority that is difficult to ignore. Malaysia have not beaten Chinese Taipei in their recent history, and the psychological weight of that 84-60 defeat may still linger.

I see Chinese Taipei winning, but only if they maintain the intensity they showed against Mongolia. A draw would suit Malaysia — they could slow the game down and rely on the home advantage — but Chinese Taipei have shown they can control tempo when needed. The conclusion stops holding if Malaysia find a way to contain their scoring, particularly in the first half. If they can keep it tight early and force Chinese Taipei to chase the game, the result becomes far less certain.