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70%
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Migdal Haemek vs Ironi Nahariya: match prediction on 16 October 2026
Migdal Haemek
Ironi Nahariya
Prediction for
Win: Ironi Nahariya
58%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
42%
1
58%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 11:45- Мигдаль-Эмеке, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Ирони Нагария, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Мигдаль-Эмеке — 0, Ирони Нагария — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Migdal Haemek
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Ironi Nahariya
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 6
0Migdal Haemek
0Draw
6Ironi Nahariya
- 27 MarMigdal Haemek — Ironi Nahariya94:102
- 25 Nov 2025Ironi Nahariya — Migdal Haemek101:88
- 14 Feb 2025Ironi Nahariya — Migdal Haemek98:72
- 3 Dec 2024Migdal Haemek — Ironi Nahariya68:73
- 22 Jan 2022Ironi Nahariya — Migdal Haemek86:74
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 11:45Ironi Nahariya are the clear favourites to win this fixture, backed by a 5-1 head-to-head record in the last six meetings and a model that projects them to score 90.4 points against Migdal Haemek's 84.9. The confidence sits at 58%.
H2H dominance
Ironi Nahariya have won every one of the last four encounters between these sides.
Recent form
Migdal Haemek have won three of their last five matches, including a narrow 131:121 victory away at Safed on 27 May and a comfortable 96:73 home win against Maccabi Maale Adumim on 24 May. Their losses came against Maccabi Haifa B.C. (75:86) and Maccabi Kiryat Gat (78:89). Ironi Nahariya have taken two wins from five: a 114:108 home victory over Maccabi Ashdod B.C. on 31 May and a 97:77 win against Elitzur Shomron on 21 May. Their three defeats all came against Maccabi Ashdod B.C., with scores of 83:94, 82:86, and 70:85. Neither side has drawn a match in their last five outings.
Model projections
The statistical model expects Ironi Nahariya to outscore Migdal Haemek by approximately five and a half points. The projected totals are 90.4 for the visitors and 84.9 for the hosts. The model assigns 0% probability to a draw. These figures suggest a straightforward victory for Ironi rather than a tightly contested affair.
Conditions for the prediction
Basketball context
The scores across both teams' recent matches range from 68 to 131 points, typical for Liga Leumit basketball. Migdal Haemek's highest-scoring game was the 131:121 win over Safed, while Ironi Nahariya's most prolific outing was the 114:108 victory against Maccabi Ashdod. Both sides have shown capacity for high-scoring games, but the model's expectation of 84.9 and 90.4 points suggests a more moderate encounter.