Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Nigeria Women vs France Women: match prediction on 7 September 2026
Nigeria Women
France Women
Prediction for
Win: France Women
60%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
40%
1
60%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 15:54- Нигерия (жен.), last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Женская сборная Франции, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Нигерия (жен.) — 0, Женская сборная Франции — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Nigeria Women
LLLLL
5 losses
France Women
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 4
1Nigeria Women
0Draw
3France Women
- 15 MarFrance Women — Nigeria Women93:86
- 1 Aug 2024France Women — Nigeria Women75:54
- 11 Feb 2022Nigeria Women — France Women67:65
- 30 Jul 2021France Women — Nigeria Women87:62
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 15:54France are the clear favourite. The model expects 80.3 points for the visitors against 70.1 for the hosts, and the gap in recent form makes that margin realistic.
Nigeria have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 420 points while scoring 349. They beat China 88:77 away from home in August but have since fallen to Hungary 67:71, South Korea 81:99, Belgium 55:90 and Spain 58:83. Their average of 69.8 points per game in that span sits well below the 70.1 the model projects for this fixture.
France have won four of their last five, scoring 448 points and conceding 345. They beat South Korea 95:69 at home, Hungary 99:53 away, South Korea 89:62 away in March and Nigeria 93:86 in March at home. Their only loss came against Italy 72:75 at home in August. The model's 80.3-point expectation for France is closer to their recent output than Nigeria's.
France lead the head-to-head 3-1. They beat Nigeria 93:86 in the FIBA World Cup on 15 March, 75:54 at the Olympics in August 2024, and 87:62 at the Olympics in July 2021. Nigeria's sole victory came 67:65 at home in February 2022. France have not lost to Nigeria since that Super Cup match four years ago.
In the last five games Nigeria averaged 20.0 turnovers and 23.4 personal fouls per match. France averaged 14.0 turnovers and 15.0 fouls in their last two matches. Nigeria's 18.6 three-point attempts yielded just 2.33 makes, while France attempted 30.5 and made 13.5. Shooting efficiency drives the points gap.
Model confidence: 60%. Confidence sits at 60%, driven by form rather than momentum.
France to win. The form gap, the head-to-head record, and the model's point projection all point in the same direction. A Nigeria upset would break this prediction, and the model assigns zero probability to that.