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Paris Basketball vs Zalgiris Kaunas: match prediction on 1 October 2026

Euroleague Adidas Arena Paris Miss Match page
Paris Basketball Zalgiris Kaunas

Prediction for

Win: Zalgiris Kaunas

56%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

44% 1
56% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 29 Sep, 19:58

Paris Basketball secured an 82:78 victory over Zalgiris Kaunas in the EuroLeague on 1 October 2026. The home side overcame a deficit in head-to-head history, having lost three of the previous four meetings against their Lithuanian opponents. The result ended a two-game losing streak for Paris, who had fallen to Panathinaikos and Partizan in the preceding week.

Paris Basketball edged the contest by four points, improving upon their previous home defeat to Partizan by 13 points. Paris won 82-78 in a tight game. Statistical averages for the period suggest Paris relied more heavily on perimeter shooting, averaging 35.4 three-pointers compared to Zalgiris’s 23.4, although Zalgiris maintained a superior field goal percentage of 52.6 per cent against Paris’s 42.9 per cent.

Zalgiris Kaunas recorded higher assist numbers, averaging 24.4 per game versus Paris’s 18.6, but struggled to convert their efficiency into a win. The result marked a return to form for the French club, who had scored 392 points and conceded 393 in their last five matches overall. The victory provided a boost in what was described as a regular season fixture for the EuroLeague, with both teams balancing domestic commitments in the LNB and LKL leagues respectively.

A significant factor for Zalgiris Kaunas was the absence of new signing Sejben Lee, who remained sidelined with a hamstring injury. His absence was noted in club reports in September, indicating he would miss several weeks of action. Internal friction at the Lithuanian club continued following public criticism from Marius Grigonis regarding former coach Ergin Ataman.

Paris Basketball entered the fixture without any reported injury concerns or suspensions. This victory shifted the recent head-to-head record in favour of Paris Basketball, bringing the tally to 2-2 in their last four meetings. Prior to this result, Zalgiris Kaunas had won three of the previous four encounters, including victories in April 2026 and December 2025.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 29 Sep, 19:58
  • Париж Баскет, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Жальгирис Каунас, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Париж Баскет — 1, Жальгирис Каунас — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Paris Basketball WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss
Zalgiris Kaunas WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 4

1Paris Basketball 0Draw 3Zalgiris Kaunas
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+