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Vienna Basket vs Zadar KK: match prediction on 16 October 2026

ABA League Wiener Stadthalle Vienna Hit Match page
Vienna Basket Zadar KK

Prediction for

Win: Vienna Basket

71%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

71% 1
29% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 16:05

Zadar are expected to win in Vienna on Thursday. The visitors have won both meetings this season, including a 10-point margin away from home, and are in far stronger recent form than the hosts.

Zadar have won four of their last five matches, losing only once to Mega Basket Belgrade 88-82 on 11 October. Vienna Basket have managed just one victory in the same period, a 96-93 home win against Szczecin in the FIBA Europe Cup. The hosts have dropped four matches, including two defeats in the ABA League and Super Cup combined.

Over six matches Zadar have scored 436 points and conceded 337, averaging 72.7 points per game. Vienna over eight matches have scored 381 and conceded 438, averaging 47.6 points scored and 54.8 conceded.

That prediction could change if Vienna find a way to control the tempo and limit Zadar's transition opportunities. The visitors have shown they can close out games, but a slow start from Zadar or a hot shooting night from Vienna could shift the balance.

Zadar are the clear favourites. They have beaten Vienna twice already this season, they are in better form, and their defensive numbers are superior.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 16:05
  • Вена Баскет, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Задар КК, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Вена Баскет — 0, Задар КК — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Vienna Basket LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
Zadar KK WWLWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 2

0Vienna Basket 0Draw 2Zadar KK
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+